china-catalyst-calendar

china-catalyst-calendar

Purpose

Build and maintain a A股催化剂日历 tracking upcoming events that could materially impact stock prices within a coverage universe.

Catalyst Types (A-share Specific)

1. Earnings & Financial Reports

Event	Typical Timing	Notes
业绩预告 (earnings preview)	1-4 weeks before	Mandatory if variance >50% from prior
季报 (quarterly report)	1 month after quarter-end	10-day grace period possible
中报 (semi-annual report)	2 months after H1	15-day grace period
年报 (annual report)	4 months after year-end	Most important event of the year
业绩说明会 (earnings call)	Same day or next trading day	上证e互动 / 深交所互动易

2. Regulatory & Policy Events

Event	Impact	Typical Timing
央行MLF/LPR操作	High (liquidity, rates)	15th of each month (MLF)
央行降准/降息	Very high	Ad-hoc, 国新办发布会
国务院政策发布	Sector-specific	Ad-hoc
部委监管政策 (NMPA, MIIT, etc.)	Industry-specific	Ad-hoc
集采结果 (volume-based procurement)	Pharma/medtech	Quarterly cycles
行业准入政策变化	Sector-specific	Ad-hoc
反垄断调查	Specific companies	Ad-hoc

3. Corporate Events

Event	Impact	Notes
股东大会 (AGM)	Low-medium	Voting on key items
分红/送股/转增 (dividend/rights)	Medium	Ex-dividend date matters
限售股解禁 (lock-up expiry)	Medium-high	Watch large blocks
增减持公告 (shareholder transactions)	Low-medium	5% threshold triggers disclosure
回购 (share buyback)	Low-medium	Implementation tracking
并购重组 (M&A announcements)	High	停牌 until announcement
增发/配股 (seasoned equity)	High	Dilution impact
可转债发行/转股	Medium	Conversion tracking

4. Sector / Industry Events

Event	Example Sectors	Notes
行业展会/论坛	新能源, 半导体, 医药	Networking, product announcements
政策研讨会	环保, 教育, 互联网	Policy direction signals
行业协会数据发布	汽车, 光伏, 风电	Monthly/quarterly stats
国际展会 (CES, IFA, etc.)	消费电子	New product launches

5. Macro Data Releases

Indicator	Frequency	Impact
PMI (制造业/非制造业)	Monthly (1st)	Market-wide
CPI / PPI	Monthly (9-10th)	Rates, commodities
社会融资规模 / M2	Monthly (10-15th)	Liquidity
外汇储备	Monthly	FX sentiment
工业增加值	Monthly	Growth indicator
零售数据	Monthly	Consumption
就业数据	Quarterly	Labor market

Data Sources

Company-Specific

# AkShare MCP
get_financials(ticker, "income", "annual")   → Historical earnings pattern
get_quote(ticker)                            → Current trading status
get_stock_info(ticker)                       → Company basic info

# Web sources for calendar data
# - 巨潮公告搜索: cninfo.com.cn
# - 上交所公告: sse.com.cn
# - 深交所公告: szse.cn

Market-Wide

get_index_data("000001")  # 上证指数 context
get_stock_news(ticker="") # General market news

Workflow

Step 1: Define Coverage Universe

Identify the stocks and sectors to track. Typical A-share coverage universe:

• 50-200 names
• Organized by sector/industry
• Priority tiers (P1 = must-track, P2 = watchlist)

Step 2: Build Calendar Entries

For each catalyst, record:

{
  "date": "2024-04-25",
  "type": "earnings",
  "subtype": "季报",
  "ticker": "600519",
  "company": "贵州茅台",
  "importance": "high",
  "notes": "Q1 2024 results; watch 批价 and inventory",
  "status": "confirmed"
}

Catalyst types in JSON:

• earnings — quarterly/semi/annual reports
• earnings_call — 业绩说明会
• regulatory — 监管政策发布
• policy — 宏观政策 (央行, 国务院)
• corporate — 公司事件 (分红, 解禁, M&A)
• macro_data — 经济数据发布
• sector_event — 行业展会/论坛
• lockup_expiry — 限售股解禁

Step 3: Prioritize Catalysts

Importance levels:

• Critical: Likely to move stock >10% (earnings, M&A, major policy)
• High: Likely to move stock 5-10% (regulatory decisions, industry data)
• Medium: Watch item, context-setting (dividend, conference participation)
• Low: Background noise (routine filings, minor announcements)

Step 4: Pre-Catalyst Preparation

1 week before critical catalysts:

• Pull latest data and consensus
• Prepare scenario analysis
• Draft preliminary positioning note
• Alert stakeholders if high-impact

1 day before critical catalysts:

• Final data check
• Confirm release timing (morning vs afternoon)
• Prepare pre-market positioning note
• Set monitoring alerts

Step 5: Post-Catalyst Update

After catalyst passes:

• Record actual outcome
• Compare vs scenario framework
• Update price target / thesis if material
• Move to "completed" section
• Flag next catalyst in queue

Calendar Format

Weekly View

【本周催化剂日历】[YYYY-MM-DD 至 YYYY-MM-DD]

周一 [Date]
  - [Time] [Ticker] [Company] — [Event type] — [Importance]
  - [Time] [Macro event] — [Impact assessment]

周二 [Date]
  ...

本周重点：
- [Top 2-3 catalysts to watch]
- [Market-wide risk events]

Monthly View

【X月重要事件日历】

财报窗口:
- [Week 1]: [Sector] Q[X] results: [List of companies]
- [Week 2]: [Sector] Q[X] results: [List of companies]

政策窗口:
- [Date]: [Policy event] — [Expected impact]

解禁窗口:
- [Date]: [Ticker] — [Amount] shares unlocking — [Risk assessment]

宏观数据:
- [Date]: [Indicator] — [Consensus] — [Previous]

Upcoming Catalysts Table

Date	Company	Event	Importance	Watch Item
04-25	贵州茅台 (600519)	Q1 年报	Critical	批价, 动销
04-28	宁德时代 (300750)	Q1 季报	High	动力电池装机, 海外收入
04-30	工信部	新能源车月度数据	Medium	销量, 渗透率

China-Specific Considerations

Earnings Calendar Patterns

Season	Months	Key Notes
Q1 earnings	Late April	年报 + Q1季报 叠加, 信息密集
H1 earnings	Late August	中报窗口, 分红预案公布
Q3 earnings	Late October	三季报, 全年预测调整
Annual earnings	Jan-April	年报密集发布, 分红方案

Lock-up Expiry (限售股解禁)

• 首发限售股 (IPO lock-up): typically 12 months
• 定增限售股 (private placement): typically 6-18 months
• 股权激励限售股: varies by plan
• High lock-up expiry → potential selling pressure

Risk assessment:

• Large percentage of float unlocking (>5%) → high risk
• Concentrated holders (single entity) → higher impact
• Company in downtrend → higher probability of sale

Regulatory Calendar

Recurring policy events:

• 中央经济工作会议 (Central Economic Work Conference): Dec
• 两会 (Two Sessions / NPC & CPPCC): Mar
• 政治局会议 (Politburo meeting): Monthly (economics discussed ~quarterly)
• 国新办发布会 (State Council Info Office presser): Ad-hoc
• 央行货币政策执行报告: Quarterly

Dividend Calendar

• 股权登记日 (record date): critical for dividend capture
• 除权除息日 (ex-dividend date): price adjusts
• 分红实施公告: typically 2-4 weeks after AGM approval
• 高送转 (high bonus issue): historically market-positive event

Integration with Other Skills

Related Skill	Integration Point
china-earnings-analysis	Post-earnings catalyst review
china-earnings-preview	Pre-earnings scenario setup
china-thesis-tracker	Catalyst milestone tracking
china-morning-note	Daily catalyst briefing
china-market-researcher	Sector catalyst themes

Quality Checks

Before delivering:

• Calendar covers 4-12 weeks ahead
• All critical catalysts flagged
• Dates verified against official sources
• Importance levels assigned consistently
• Watch items specific and actionable
• Pre-catalyst preparation tasks defined