high-risk

High-Risk Trading Rules (Bitkub)

Applies on top of playbook. These rules override the playbook where they conflict. When they are silent, the playbook rules apply unchanged.

Confirmation gate (mandatory unless waived)

Before every place_limit_order call, show the user a trade summary and wait for explicit approval. Do not call the order tool until the user says yes.

Summary format:

📋 Trade Summary — [SYMBOL]
  Side       : BUY
  Entry      : [price] THB
  Stop Loss  : [price] THB  (−[R] THB / −[%]%)
  Take Profit: [price] THB  (+[2R] THB / +[%]%)
  Qty        : [qty] coins
  Risk       : [THB] THB ([%]% of equity)

ยืนยันซื้อจริงไหมครับ? (ตอบ ใช่ / ยืนยัน / go / yes เพื่อดำเนินการ)

Waiver — skip the gate and execute immediately if the user has said any of:

• "ไม่ต้อง confirm", "ยืนยันได้เลย", "ทำงานได้เลย", "auto", "no confirm", "just do it", "go ahead"

The waiver lasts for the current session only. Re-ask on next session.

Why high-risk is still managed risk

High-risk does not mean reckless. It means accepting more volatility for higher potential reward. Risk per trade is capped, correlation is known, and the validation gate is never skipped. The difference from low-risk is looser filters and larger position sizing — not abandoning the system.

Portfolio allocation

Bucket	Allocation	Purpose
Cash reserve	≥ 30% of equity	Minimum floor; never go all-in
Active capital	≤ 70% of equity	Tradeable pool
Risk per trade	≤ 3% of equity	Hard ceiling
Max open positions	3 concurrent	Avoid overexposure

Example: 100,000 THB → 30,000 cash → 70,000 active → risk ≤ 3,000 THB per trade.

Check get_wallet_balance before every session. If cash < 30%, reduce or close a position before opening a new one.

Symbol filter

Allowed (in priority order):

Priority	Symbol	Rationale
1st	btc_thb	Highest liquidity, lowest spread
2nd	eth_thb	High liquidity; accepted correlation risk
3rd	Top-10 by Bitkub 24h THB volume	Screened per session

Excluded regardless:

• 24h volume < 5M THB on Bitkub
• Any coin that moved > 20% in the last 24h (chasing momentum after the fact)
• Meme coins, newly listed coins (< 30 days)

Entry checklist

Evaluate on the 1H candle for entry signal and 4H candle for regime. Fewer conditions than low-risk, but validate_trade_setup gate is still mandatory.

#	Check	Tool
1	Regime = UPTREND or NEUTRAL	check_market_regime on 4H closes
2	Close > EMA50 (4H)	calculate_ema(closes_4h, 50)
3	RSI(14) between 45–75 on 1H	calculate_rsi(closes_1h, 14) — avoid overbought chase
4	validate_trade_setup returns can_trade=true	gate — never skip

DOWNTREND regime → hold cash regardless of other signals.

Take-profit & stop rules

• Minimum RR = 2:1. Same floor as low-risk and playbook.
• Stop = 1.5× ATR below entry (from 1H ATR) or below 1H swing low, whichever is tighter.
• At +1R: move stop to break-even.
• At +2R: take 50%, trail the rest with calculate_trailing_stop(candles, atr_multiplier=1.5).
• At +3R: close remaining or continue trailing at atr_multiplier=1.
• Maximum loss per session: 2 losing trades → stop for the day, review journal. (Tighter than low-risk because single losses are larger.)

Execution flow

Follow the full playbook flow. No shortcuts.

Steps 1–3 (Shortlist, Regime, Relative Strength) use this skill's looser filters. Steps 4–11 follow the playbook exactly, with one addition:

Between step 9 (simulate) and step 10 (place + log): → Show the confirmation summary above and wait for user approval (unless waived).

→ Continue with: plugins/bitkub-trade/skills/playbook/SKILL.md Step 0 first, then step 1 onward.