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Translate model output (tables, figures, log files) into undergrad-readable economic interpretation. Triggers at stage 03 or /ueai-stage 03.
How this skill is triggered — by the user, by Claude, or both
Slash command
/ueaiworkflow:ueai-result-interpretThe summary Claude sees in its skill listing — used to decide when to auto-load this skill
Whatever the student attached to `evidence/results/`. Common artefacts:
Whatever the student attached to evidence/results/. Common artefacts:
| File | What's in it |
|---|---|
tariffshock.sl4 viewed via ViewSOL | percentage changes in macro vars (qgdp, EV, qxw, pxw, ...) by region & sector |
tab1_did.tex / .csv from esttab | regression table (coeff, se, R²) |
fig1_decomp.png | welfare decomposition bar chart |
| log files | run-time messages |
A filled 03_results/result_interpretation.md with:
[来源: evidence/results/xxx].[来源: evidence/results/<file>].# 结果解释
项目题目:{{TOPIC}}
对应课程:{{COURSE}}
研究问题:{{QUESTION}}
## 本阶段任务
把表格、图形和模型输出转化为经济学解释。
## AI辅助记录
- 使用时间:...
- 使用工具:...
- 使用提示词:prompts/result-interpret.md
### 关键数值
- 中国 GDP 量价分解中 `qgdp` 变动 **-0.34%** [来源: evidence/results/sl4_qgdp.csv]
- 中国 EV(等价变差)**-32.1 亿美元 (2017 基价)** [来源: evidence/results/sl4_ev.csv]
- 电子部门出口 `qxw("Electronics","China")` **-12.7%** [来源: evidence/results/sl4_qxw.csv]
### 方向 / 量级 / 经济含义
- GDP 下降方向符合理论预期;量级在 Caliendo–Parro 量级带内。
- EV 损失主要由出口部门福利下降驱动。
- 电子部门冲击最大;钢铁次之;服务业受益(贸易转移效应)。
### 异质性
- 受损前三部门:Electronics, Steel, Machinery
- 受益前三部门:Services, Agriculture, Light manufacturing
### 稳健性边界
- 关税幅度由 25pp 改为 10pp 时,GDP 影响缩为约 -0.13%。
- 取消关税收入回家庭的假设,福利损失扩大约 18%。
- HS 章节扩展到 84+85+73+76,结果增量小于 5%。
### 与文献对照
- Caliendo & Parro (2015) 报告 NAFTA 反事实福利变动约 0.08%–0.45%;本研究 0.34% 在合理量级。
## 人工核验与修改
- 数据来源或课程材料核验:
- 教师要求对照:
- 人工修改说明:
## 本阶段产出
- 提交文件:03_results/result_interpretation.md
- 表/图文件位置:evidence/results/
evidence/results/<filename>.npx claudepluginhub allblueuk/ueaiworkflowCreates, edits, and optimizes skills for Claude Code, including drafting, evaluating with test prompts, iterating on performance, and improving skill descriptions for better triggering accuracy.