niopd-dt-first-principles

First Principles Thinking Skill

This skill applies first principles reasoning to deconstruct problems to their fundamental truths and rebuild solutions from the ground up, enabling breakthrough innovation.

Theoretical Foundation

Origin and Development

First Principles Thinking originates from Aristotle's philosophy (384-322 BCE), who described it as "the first basis from which a thing is known." The approach was popularized in modern business by Elon Musk, who applied it to radically reduce costs at SpaceX and Tesla.

Core Principle

First principles thinking involves:

1. Breaking down problems to their most fundamental elements
2. Questioning every assumption about how things "must" be done
3. Rebuilding solutions from basic truths, unconstrained by convention

Contrast with Analogical Thinking:

Approach	Method	Result
Analogical	"How is this done elsewhere?"	Incremental improvement
First Principles	"What are the fundamental truths?"	Breakthrough innovation

Classic Examples

SpaceX Rocket Cost Reduction:

• Analogical: "Rockets cost $65M, how can we optimize 10%?"
• First Principles: "What are rockets made of? Aluminum, titanium, copper, carbon fiber. What do those materials cost on commodity markets? ~2% of rocket price. Why is there a 50x markup?"
• Result: Built rockets for 10% of traditional cost

Tesla Battery Innovation:

• Analogical: "Battery packs cost $600/kWh, too expensive for EVs"
• First Principles: "What's in batteries? Cobalt, nickel, aluminum, carbon, polymers. What do these cost on London Metal Exchange? ~$80/kWh"
• Result: Redesigned manufacturing to approach material cost

The Process

flowchart TD
    A[Identify Problem] --> B[List All Assumptions]
    B --> C[Challenge Each Assumption]
    C --> D[Identify Fundamental Truths]
    D --> E[Reconstruct from Fundamentals]
    E --> F[Evaluate New Solutions]
    F --> G{Feasible?}
    G -->|Yes| H[Implement]
    G -->|No| E

When to Use This Skill

• Facing "impossible" challenges
• Existing solutions are too costly or complex
• Industry is stuck in conventional thinking
• Need for disruptive innovation
• Preparing for major investment decisions
• Challenging status quo assumptions
• Technology paradigm shifts

Related Methodologies

• Five Whys: Root cause analysis
• Zero-Based Thinking: "Knowing what I know now..."
• Socratic Method: Questioning assumptions
• Design Thinking: Human-centered problem solving
• Blue Ocean Strategy: Creating uncontested market space

Prerequisites

Before applying first principles:

1. Clear problem statement
2. Understanding of current approaches
3. Willingness to challenge assumptions
4. Access to fundamental data (costs, physics, etc.)

Instructions

You are Nio, a strategic thinker applying first principles reasoning.

Step 1: Configuration and Acknowledgment

1. Read .claude/AGENTS.md for user preferences
2. Read AGENTS.md for project context
3. Acknowledge in preferred language:
   • 中文: "让我们使用第一性原理来解构这个问题。我们将挑战每一个假设，找到根本真理。"
   • English: "Let's apply first principles thinking to deconstruct this problem. We'll challenge every assumption to find fundamental truths."

Step 2: Problem Definition

Capture the problem clearly:

Questions:

• "What specific problem are we trying to solve?"
• "What is the current approach to solving this?"
• "Why is the current approach unsatisfactory?"
• "What would an ideal solution look like?"

Document:

## Problem Statement
**Problem**: [Clear statement]
**Current Approach**: [How it's done today]
**Why Unsatisfactory**: [Specific limitations]
**Ideal Outcome**: [What success looks like]

Step 3: Assumption Identification

List every assumption about the problem:

Prompt the user:

• "What do we believe must be true about this problem?"
• "What constraints do we take for granted?"
• "What does 'everyone in the industry' assume?"
• "What are we assuming about user behavior?"
• "What are we assuming about technology?"
• "What are we assuming about costs?"

Categorize assumptions:

Category	Assumption
Technical	[Assumption]
Market	[Assumption]
Cost	[Assumption]
Behavioral	[Assumption]
Regulatory	[Assumption]

Step 4: Assumption Challenge

For EACH assumption, ask:

1. "Is this actually true?"

   • What evidence supports this?
   • Has anyone proven this wrong?

2. "Why do we believe this?"

   • Is it based on data or convention?
   • When was this last verified?

3. "What if this weren't true?"

   • What would be possible?
   • What would change?

Document challenges:

Assumption	Evidence	Validity	If False...
[A1]	[Evidence]	Valid/Questionable/Invalid	[Possibility]

Step 5: Identify Fundamental Truths

From the challenged assumptions, extract what IS fundamentally true:

Categories of fundamental truths:

• Physical laws: Gravity, thermodynamics, etc.
• Mathematical certainties: Costs, efficiency limits
• Human constants: Basic needs, cognitive limits
• Verified data: Measured, not assumed

Format:

## Fundamental Truths
1. **[Truth 1]**: [Statement with evidence]
2. **[Truth 2]**: [Statement with evidence]
3. **[Truth 3]**: [Statement with evidence]

Step 6: Reconstruct from Fundamentals

Build new solutions using ONLY the fundamental truths:

Guiding questions:

• "Given only these truths, what solutions become possible?"
• "What would we build if we had no knowledge of current approaches?"
• "How would an outsider solve this?"
• "What would this look like if it were easy?"

Generate multiple approaches:

### New Approach 1: [Name]
- **Concept**: [Description]
- **Builds on truths**: [Which fundamentals]
- **Differs from current**: [Key differences]
- **Potential advantages**: [Benefits]
- **Key challenges**: [Obstacles]

### New Approach 2: [Name]
[Same structure]

Step 7: Feasibility Evaluation

Assess each new approach:

Approach	Innovation	Feasibility	Impact	Risk	Ranking
Current	Low	High	Baseline	Low	-
New 1	[H/M/L]	[H/M/L]	[H/M/L]	[H/M/L]	[1-5]
New 2	[H/M/L]	[H/M/L]	[H/M/L]	[H/M/L]	[1-5]

Evaluation criteria:

• Technical feasibility
• Economic viability
• Time to implementation
• Risk profile
• Competitive advantage

Step 8: Generate Analysis Report

Create comprehensive documentation:

File path: 01-sources/[YYYYMMDD]-first-principles-analysis-v0.md

Contents:

1. Executive Summary
2. Problem Definition
3. Assumptions Inventoried
4. Assumptions Challenged
5. Fundamental Truths Identified
6. New Approaches Developed
7. Feasibility Assessment
8. Recommended Path Forward
9. Implementation Considerations

Step 9: Next Steps

1. "Validate fundamental truths with domain experts"
2. "Prototype highest-potential approach"
3. "Conduct five-whys analysis on specific obstacles"
4. "Develop business case for recommended approach"
5. "Present findings to stakeholders"

Output Specifications

File Naming

[YYYYMMDD]-first-principles-analysis-v0.md

Output Location

01-sources/

Template Reference

Use references/first-principles-template.md

Error Handling

Error	Response
Problem too vague	Ask for specific examples
Can't identify assumptions	Prompt with categories
All assumptions seem valid	Push harder - something is taken for granted
No new solutions emerge	Try different analogy domains
Solutions seem impractical	Focus on components, not whole system

Quality Checklist

• Problem clearly defined
• 10+ assumptions identified
• Each assumption rigorously challenged
• Fundamental truths are truly fundamental
• New approaches genuinely novel
• Feasibility honestly assessed
• Recommendation is actionable

Related NioPD Skills

• niopd-dt-five-whys: Root cause analysis
• niopd-dt-socratic-questioning: Questioning methodology
• niopd-dt-scenarios: Future planning
• niopd-st-canvas: Business model analysis
• niopd-bs-market-opportunity: Market fundamentals